2010 Future Gazing

Would you buy one?
It’s been a mad year and next year is set to be even more crazy.
2009 has seen luxury good sales boom, e-commerce sites explode and the final mass adoption of digital video and e-ink.
Mobile internet has taken off thanks to Twitter, Facebook and the iPhone. Social has started to be more powerful than most could have hoped and TV has gone down hill so fast it’s breathtaking.
2009 retrospective
Early this year we predicted a few things that have happened, some clever and some obvious. BBC iPlayer has seen an amazing take up across the country and handled 70 million requests in October, which is about 7 Petabytes of data or 12.5 Gigabytes per second.
Top 10 key changes in 2010
- The end of free. Well at least as we know it owing to a drop in ad revenue and cold feet amongst media owners.
- A new media monster. As the old guard struggle to reorganise, one or two new, media goliaths will take over, buying paid content from the old order and giving it out for free to meet the needs of us consumers.
- Mobile web will overtake fixed line. For key content mobiles will become the only way to access key info, buy stuff and keep in touch.
- Visualisation goes mainstream. With the increase in e-commerce traffic the only way to get your head around the numbers is to change your view. Being able to represent numbers in new, visual ways will be coming to a vendor near you soon.
- The customer will become king. Crowds are causing even more trouble for corporates, as I type, Eurostar is suffering huge PR issues; surely it’s time to wake up to what your customers want?
- Content strategy is the new usability. Too much emphasis has been placed on cool tech recently such as augmented reality, but these are just shiny bows on a box of rubbish. Clients and customers will wake up to the power of well organised content.
- Data will kill UK networks. As the iPlayer shows, and to some extent the iPhone, when people get going, they really get going. Streaming video and large file transfers are going to carry on causing the biggest customer satisfaction issues as networks fail over the sheer volume of traffic.
- No one will beat Apple. When it comes to technology that has completely changed the world, the iPhone is an amazing example, and no matter how hard people try (Palm) no one can get close.
- e-ink will become the norm. We all love our Kindles, those who have them that is, and finally there is some competition, which means cheaper, better ebooks for all. Migrate newspapers from print to digital and you have a new outlet for old media. Shame about the latency of stories though.
- Measure your customer’s empathy. Stats, conversion and marketing data standalone to offer a crutch, but only when you bring these together can you really measure how successful your business is. 2010 will see customer empathy ratings used as the standard metric for success.
We will have a review in the summer of 2010 and see what’s on, what’s not and what needs to be added.
customer insight, e-commerce, information architecture, market research, usability design

Amazon has reportedly sold more digital books on Christmas day than printed ones due tonthe Kindle’s huge present appeal. I will update the blog once more details come through.